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The Most ABSurd Blog

Ethan Decker Ethan Decker

Is Your Playlist Secretly Running Your Store?

A fascinating experiment in a UK wine shop found that background tunes subconsciously dictated whether shoppers bought French or German wine, proving that you should never take survey data at face value because buyers usually have absolutely no clue what actually drives their decisions.

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Aicila Aicila

Cover Brand: From Invisible to Inevitable

Ethan Decker talks with community builder Jamie Rich about why starting narrow — in this case, a wisdom-sharing platform for gay men over 55 — is actually the most powerful way to build a brand that eventually resonates with everyone.

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Ethan Decker Ethan Decker

What are the real odds of first mover advantage?

First-mover advantage isn't an ironclad law of brand science—it actually belongs in the massive 'it depends' category, because pioneers often just end up with arrows in their backs while later entrants swoop in to win the market.”

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Aicila Aicila

Cover Brand: The Literal Trap

Ethan Decker talks with life coach Dror Yaron about why literal, descriptive brand names usually fail, and why real-world buyers will always ruin the perfect "target persona" you built in a conference room.

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Ethan Decker Ethan Decker

What does “loyalty” look like in real markets?

Bain & Co analyzed actual purchase data across multiple categories and found that brand 'loyalty' is a sloppy myth, because 100% monogamy is the rare exception and normal buyers naturally rotate through a repertoire of brands—so stop freaking out when your customers buy your competitors' stuff.

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Ethan Decker Ethan Decker

Why asking if they “like” your new packaging is a terrible idea

Designalytics analyzed 52 pack redesigns and found that asking if people “like” your new packaging is a surprisingly terrible predictor of sales, because in-market success actually comes down to whether your design beats what they currently buy and makes the category benefits incredibly obvious. ]

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Ethan Decker Ethan Decker

What's the reason ad agencies skew so young?

Ad agencies love to pretend their shockingly young workforces are all about staying relevant with youth culture, but the stark reality is it almost entirely comes down to cheap labor and a willingness to work weekends.

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Ethan Decker Ethan Decker

The Gen-Z Brand Purpose Myth

Despite what the surveys say about Gen-Z demanding "brand purpose," their actual favorite brands prove they just want big, obvious, easy-to-remember products that simply nail the basics.

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Ethan Decker Ethan Decker

Why is it so easy for buyers to forget you exist?

People forget your brand because memory naturally decays, so unless you fight exponential forgetting with relentless, distinctive repetition, you’re basically asking a brain that can’t remember its keys to remember your logo.

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Ethan Decker Ethan Decker

What Does Click Through Rate Actually Tell You?

Nielsen analyzed nearly 500 global campaigns and found that click-through rate is effectively worthless as a success metric because it has zero correlation with ad recall, brand awareness, purchase intent, or ROI—and is mostly driven by bots anyway.

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Ethan Decker Ethan Decker

Rethinking ROI as a Measurement of Effectiveness

ROI measures how efficiently you spent money yesterday, but it’s a crap choice for measuring effectiveness because it completely misses the long-term value of the 99% of buyers who are just building consideration sets today.

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